I’m not talking just the packers but the NFL in general. Guys getting drafter with these huge hopes and dreams to be out of a job in 2 yrs not injury related and looked like garbage the whole time.

Really makes you appreciate the skill levels of the guys who play for years

  • andav44BEnglish
    1·
    1 year ago

    The draft is very hard, and most people are just completely oblivious to this.

    Posting the same chart I post whenever these conversations pop up, it was put together on the NFL Draft sub a couple years back looking at a variety of methods/criteria (AV, raw stats, PFF grades, accolades, etc.) for “hit” rate:

    Round/Pick Amazing Good Serviceable
    R1 P1-10 ~20% ~40% ~65%
    R1 P11-20 ~15% ~30% ~60%
    R1 P21-32 ~10% ~20% ~55%
    R2 <5% ~15% ~35%
    R3 <5% ~10% ~15%
    R4 + R5 <5% <5% ~10%
    R6 + R7 <5% <5% ~5%
    UDFA <5% <5% <5%

    Basically amounts to 1.45 serviceable or better players per class as average.

    That means that just two serviceable players per draft class (including undrafted free agents!) means you are ahead of the NFL average. Again, the draft is very hard. Most players do not succeed.