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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: October 25th, 2023

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  • Different positions really, so I’d be a bit surprised. They are all like 30lbs different in weight, just fundamentally different players. Slaton at ~330lbs, Brooks at ~300lbs, and Wooden at ~270lbs (same as like Gary/LVN). This is a table of their snap percentage by position:

    Slaton Brooks Wooden
    NT ~29% ~1% ~1%
    DT ~68% ~50% ~34%
    DE ~3% ~43% ~39%
    ED ~1% ~5% ~26%

    So, fairly logically, as the player gets smaller the further from the center/nose they are playing.


  • I’ve actually done this before, it’s honestly super uninteresting, every group just ends up in the good/okay tiers. Unless you are in one of the positions where it’s just one player (C and QB) it’s really hard to break out of the good/okay tiers because you need multiple players performing really poorly or really well, which is pretty rare.

    Right now it would be:

    • QB: Good
    • RB: Good
    • WR: Good
    • TE: Okay
    • OT: Okay
    • G: Okay
    • C: Okay
    • DL: Okay
    • ED: Good
    • LB: Okay
    • S: Okay
    • CB: Okay

  • Interestingly with how the grades work, they are always relative to best/worst performances, and JRJ has been so consistently bad we are very close to a point where Newman actually moves up a tier, despite not playing, because JRJ has been so bad. Though, I think Newman won’t be eligible for the season tier by the time that happens. I think…

    With Walker/McDuffie they kinda cancelled each other out, Walker did poor in coverage while good in the run game and McDuffie did well in coverage and poor in the run game. I think their performance got a bit hidden just because the guys up front all played so well. A bit of the classic reason why you don’t invest in LBs, because if your guys up front play well it doesn’t really matter how good your LBs are.







  • The draft is very hard, and most people are just completely oblivious to this.

    Posting the same chart I post whenever these conversations pop up, it was put together on the NFL Draft sub a couple years back looking at a variety of methods/criteria (AV, raw stats, PFF grades, accolades, etc.) for “hit” rate:

    Round/Pick Amazing Good Serviceable
    R1 P1-10 ~20% ~40% ~65%
    R1 P11-20 ~15% ~30% ~60%
    R1 P21-32 ~10% ~20% ~55%
    R2 <5% ~15% ~35%
    R3 <5% ~10% ~15%
    R4 + R5 <5% <5% ~10%
    R6 + R7 <5% <5% ~5%
    UDFA <5% <5% <5%

    Basically amounts to 1.45 serviceable or better players per class as average.

    That means that just two serviceable players per draft class (including undrafted free agents!) means you are ahead of the NFL average. Again, the draft is very hard. Most players do not succeed.