Think about Aaron Donald for one second. Then watch this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjS-8io5gSo
or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Q_HrzbvhGw
Of course, Hutchinson also has this: https://www.reddit.com/r/MichiganWolverines/comments/pkiex3/update_hutchinson_turkish_get_up/
In the NFL, teams with a +3 differential win 90% of the time.
Turnovers (esp if they’re pick sixes) have an outlying effect on the game. So he’s right in that regard.
The issue is that turnovers are also very random. It’s really hard to FORCE a fumble. Think of how many “Peanut Punches” you’ve seen and how many times that forces a fumble. The last player who led the league more than once in forced fumbles was Robert Mathis in 2013. And once you do force a fumble, that football is so weirdly shaped that fumble RECOVERY is basically a coin toss.
INTs are a little bit more controllable. There are some QBs/styles that simply produce more INTs. Stafford has 178 INTs in 201 GP (0.885 INT/GP). Goff has 78 INTs in 111 GP (0.703 INT/GP). Not surprising there. And some defenses/secondaries generate more INTs than others.
But at the end of the day, it’s still really random and you don’t have THAT much control over it.
The only games that matter are the Minnesota games.
According to the NYT playoff machine, if the Lions win both games, they’re >99% chance to win the division (and host a playoff game). If they split, that chance falls to 88%. Losing both MIN games lowers DET’s chances to 39%
Tied with the Chiefs, Browns, Miami, and Tennessee.
You can dive a bit more into it. Fumbles (both give and take) are more random than INTs (both give and take). Although there’s still a bunch of variance.
Which is a long way of saying that this major factor in football games (Teams that are +3 TO differential win 90% of their games) is more random than not.
Didn’t they used to wear black socks with the throwbacks? Like a LONG time ago.
I’m thankful that it’s Thanksgiving and I’m worried about playoff seeding rather than draft position.
Actually a hook and lateral might be a great way to use Jamo’s speed.
ARSB or LaPorta with the hook or dig, and then pitch to Jamo running in the opposite direction.
He’s unabashedly a Bears fan. He picked them to go 12-5 before the season started.
This guy took a full on Maxx Crosby tackle and jumped right to his feet after that.
If Maxx Crosby hit one of us like that, we’d be dead. (Or at least be really slow getting up and waving to the sideline to get someone else tf in)
DVOA isn’t exactly a power ranking, but DET is 4th on there too.
BAL, SF, KC, DET, DAL, CLE, MIA, BUF, PHI, JAX
PHI at 9 on DVOA is really interesting - but the Eagles are 8-1 but they’ve had close wins against some weak opponents (NE, WAS)
I don’t care if you agree or disagree with Dan, Brad, and Sheila. But bring some facts and insight to back up your opinion.
You think Detroit should have made a trade to increase their chances in the playoffs? Okay - give me an example or two of another team that made a similar trade at the mid-season deadline that went from no playoffs to the Super Bowl.
You think Jamo is going to do much better in the second half of his second year? What kind of comparisons do you have for that?
Simply saying “durr hurr MCDC” or “durr hurr SOL” is just noise. Bring some facts.
They explained in the video. (Don’t you watch EVERY video put out by the Lions PR team??)
They wanted to keep the solid silver helmets for the throwbacks. Which I’m totally ok with.
Let’s hope there’s a repeat of this scene: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldR7sCYKC9k
Does he look sorta like Will Smith to other folks?