To be clear: I am NOT in favor of doing this. I just think, depending on where they are picking, who is available, and who is running the draft there is are several very real scenarios where they could convince themselves that it makes sense. Even if Belichick is out when the draft rolls around, are we SURE that whoever the GM is will be able to pass on some deal similar to what the Bears got last year?
Consider this scenario: Patriots are sitting there at #3. Williams goes #1, MHJ goes #2… and a team like Arizona comes along and offers pick #5-7, a 1st next year and a legit player, say like a Budda Baker. Or maybe they offer something even crazier like #5-7, a 3rd, and Kyler Murray. Might be hard to pass up on a deal like that given how many needs the team has, especially if it’s a situation where they’re getting a whole lot in return just for moving down a few spots in the draft.
Again, I’m not advocating for this, I’m just saying that I do think it’s a real possibility and am wondering: would you be upset if they passed on a top 3 pick? Is there another trade scenario you can think of that would make you consider doing this?
If Arizona are trading up to three and MHJr has already been drafted then the only reason they do that is for a QB. At which point they would be trading Kyler because you aren’t gonna have two number one overall QBs under 26 on the same roster.
Teams moving up to draft a QB usually have to pay a huge haul to get up higher enough to draft a potential franchise QB. Likely two 1sts and a second in addition to the first rounder they are moving up from. Think SF when they traded with Miami to select Lance.