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Cake day: October 25th, 2023

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  • We have like the 30th most expensive defense by market cap. IMO we have good LBs / good secondary, and are just missing that pass rusher opposite Hutchinson, aka James Houston. The fact that 2 guys on the dline basically never generate any pressure is a much bigger problem than it seems. It means that the QB can literally just run away from any McNeill / Hutchinson pressure, because the other guys can’t even keep contain. Those extra couple seconds are the difference between successful coverage and wide open receivers, as no CB can cover for 6+ seconds reliably. The secondary’s performance is strongly correlated with how much pressure the dline generates, which is true for every team in the history of the game.

    AG’s scheme has consistently engineered 1 on 1s, which for most teams would be successful. He obviously needs to adjust that in the meantime, but when Houston gets back it WILL work (potentially why he’s hesitant to make drastic changes, as they will be temporary). Ultimately it may be a good thing to add him back towards the end of the year. Only time will tell.



  • Here’s what I think. Campbell and Holmes (as well as the players) have the utmost trust in Goff. However, it’s clear that Ben Johnson doesn’t trust him. Since the start of this season, he has gotten more and more conservative on offense. Goff is one of the highest-graded QBs on throws over 20 yards, but he rarely gets the chance to show that.

    Some of the problems I have with Ben Johnson:

    1. He hasn’t figured the Montgomery and Gibbs balance out. Gibbs is a superior player in every facet, and should be getting the majority of touches at this point in the season.

    2. He runs the ball too much in general. This is no longer a league where you run the ball to pass it, it’s the other way around now. Basically every single game this season, the opposing defense has 9/10 players in the box for 1st and 2nd down. He doesn’t punish them enough for doing that.

    3. He calls way too many tight formations. Goes hand in hand with point 2, because you constrict the field and allow the defense to have more players go after the QB. Goff isn’t good at navigating a crowded pocket when there are 7 rushers / 7 blockers (and that point holds true for every QB). That’s a big reason for the fumbles, there’s just too many defenders for him to account for.









  • Amon Ra, Sewell, Goff are probably locks (Dak and Hurts being the other two NFC QBs, nobody else is close).

    Gibbs could potentially be one if he stays hot, but I think the voting closes too early for him to have a chance. Glasgow should 100000% be one, but I’d say maybe just one of the Decker/Ragnow/Glasgow will get in.

    On defense, Alim, Hutchinson and Anzalone SHOULD be the ones who get in. PFF has Hutchinson at a 90.2 grade on the year, which is nuts. Not sure how NTs vs DTs are compared, but Alim may have a hard time getting in with Lawrence/Carter/Donald doing well. I ultimately see Anzalone as an alternate, just because he’s generally underrated.


  • The all22 would confirm it, but it really seems like he consistently generated a shit ton of separation this game. There was one play (I think it was a crossing route to Amon Ra or something) where Jamo was WIDE OPEN streaking across the field 25-30ish yards deep. Just seems to be a timing issue with him and Goff.