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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: October 25th, 2023

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  • So a couple points on this film:

    - Slow the playback of the film to 0.25 or 0.5. You’ll see the plays develop much better.

    - Rice runs his routes fine. They need work, but they’re not bad enough to be a huge problem. Routes are supposed to get you open in “windows” and separation from defenders is not indefinite. Rice has plenty of open windows on film here.

    Also, Mahomes misses a bunch of wide open players. Here are just some of the time stamps I noticed just watching through once:

    - Pop at 0:24.

    - Rice at 0:32 has inside leverage and Mahomes has him in his read as long as he throws on schedule but he holds.

    - Toney at 0:43 is ridiculously open.

    - Both Rice and Kelce have good inside leverage at 0:51 but Mahomes understandably goes to Kelce.

    - Rice is wide open at 0:59 if Mahomes had just kept him in his sight instead of moving on to his next progression.

    - Mahomes has Kelce at 1:07 but instead throws to Watson for an interception.

    - Rice at 1:26. Mahomes really could have gone to Rice instead of Watson.

    - Kelce at 1:34 is wide fucking open and I have no idea what Mahomes is doing here. This one is really bad.

    - Kelce at 2:05 and Mahomes just misses this throw from waiting a touch too long.

    - Kelce at 2:59 is far more open than Watson and should be in Mahomes vision.

    - Rice at 3:12 but Mahomes just does not go into motion even though Rice is in his progression and Rice has plenty of space.

    - Kelce at 3:21 is a good read by Mahomes but the throw is too far in front.

    - Rice at 3:40 badly beats his man.

    So watching this, I notice Kelce and Rice getting open a bunch of times and Mahomes either waits too long or throws to Watson instead which ends up as either an incompletion or interception a lot.






  • Its not a surprise though. Every team looks at basic stats like this. Every team can tell who the best members of a particular position are. Rice being the best receiver would surprise no one.

    We just lost to the Eagles because we over relied on two highly unreliable players - Watson and MVS. Look at any other top tier team - Eagles, Cowboys, 49ers, Bengals, etc. They do not spend a bunch of targets on WR3s. You feed 2-3 players most of your attempts, and spend 20-40% on your WR3s. That’s normal. The Chiefs should be targeting either Kelce, Rice, or our third best receiver - probably Toney - 60-80% of the time. Everyone else gets the remaining attempts. That’s exactly what we did last year with Kelce, Smith-Schuster, and MVS.

    Right now our 3 most unreliable receivers - MVS, Watson, and Moore - are getting about 35% of attempts among our WRs and TEs. That’s just for our 3 most unreliable players. That’s just too much for those guys. You need a receiver to be “the guy” for Mahomes who is on the field 90%+ of snaps. That’s Rice.