Disagree, ball was in his hands, can’t just let the DB rip it out. Maybe wouldn’t have happened if ball was placed better but it was good enough for Reed to make the play. Most interceptions aren’t all one person’s fault, but I’d assign more blame to Reed on that one than Love, just my opinion.
Probably wasn’t fair to say this was on Watson but I stand with what I said that the ball was catchable based on the placement.
Even if you disagree, I think we should be able to live with picks that require a world class play on the ball by the DB.
One additional set of numbers that I thought was interesting:
Team win probability right before the INT:
| Before INT | After INT | Diff |
|---|---|---|
| 1) 7% | 6% | -1% |
| 2) 15% | 10% | -5% |
| 3) 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 4) ? (hard to tell since Raiders just scored a TD). Probably between 40 and 45% | 33% | Between -7% and 12% |
| 5) 36.2% | 23.4% | -13.2% |
| 6) 23.7% | 0% | -23.7% |
| 7) 42.5% | 8.5% | -34% |
| 8) 8.9% | 4.4% | -4.5% |
| 9) 42.4% | 24.3% | -18.1% |
| 10) 33.8% | 0% | -33.8% |
Based on ESPN Win probability calculator
So 0 INTs when team was favored to win. By these numbers we can group the INTs into these categories:
Barely changed win probability: 1,3 (1% diff or less)Small change in win probability: 2,8 (5% diff or less)All or nothing throws: 6, 10 (throw effectively or literally ended the game)
That leaves 4, 5, 7, and 9 as meaningful picks outside of last second/minute heaves.
If he comes back to early he’s going to end up hurt again, almost certainly. This is not an injury you can just tough it out with.
Packers backloaded his contract so Bills are going to eat the brunt of it. Packers also probably believe that Valentine will be the starter next season alongside Alexander which would make him an expensive backup battling it out with Stokes for the #3. Might as well cash out when you can if that was going to be the case.
Yeah, it’s nice to see that only two of the picks we can probably say right now were bad picks ( Nichols and probably DuBose) and both of those were in the 7th round. I’d argue usually there are some higher round picks we can definitively call busts by midseason the first year.
Crazy how many completely missed throws Allen has had this game. If this was Love people would be freaking out.
Honestly, after watching Rodgers for so many years I think we forgot how common it is even for good QBs to miss throws.
Patriots kicker MVP for shanking the game tying field goal. Fans didn’t deserve to have to keep watching that shit show.
Not sure who we want to win in the Saints/Flacons game. On one hand the Falcons winning sucks because we lose the H2H tiebreak but if they when the division then who cares. I think it’s a little ‘safer’ if they end losing (worst case scenario is there are a bunch of 9-8 teams in the NFC south and Falcons end up losing division tiebreaker). Using the NYT’s playoff predictor it didn’t seem to move the needle much either way (slightly favored Saints winning for Packers chances).
Shoutout to Kenny Clark too. A number of the plays that Gary/Preston made were helped by Clark winning his matchup and forcing Goff up in the pocket. Clark also had one of my favorite plays of the game when he bull rushed the Lions guard almost 10 yards up field.
Dominayton with a team worst -33 +/-. Nice.
Dominayton with a team worst -33 +/-. Nice.
We got thumped against the Lions and Vikings and we’ve already beaten one of those two teams in a rematch. Our point differential puts us solidly in the ‘average’ team bucket. Average is probably the best way to describe the team right now which is certainly better than things were looking ~4 weeks back.